CONSIDERATIONS ON THE ORGANISATION OF PROJECTS
Transaction Costs
Production Costs
Forms of Collaborative Transaction Governance
Uncertainty, Variability and Risk

The essential feature of project organisation is a temporary organisation which draws on the permanent resources provided by functionally organised skill containers. This general form of project organisation is illustrated in figure 2. The functional organisations are responsible for developing the productive resources required for the project. This activity may take the form of recruiting, developing, and retaining appropriate human resources, buying and maintaining production equipment, and the development of new product technologies and production techniques. The project organisation is responsible for ensuring that the appropriate mix of resources is mobilised to meet the clients needs. This client may either be a real entity, or a virtual client where the marketing department is responsible for interpreting the requirements of an as yet unknown group of customers. The skill containers providing the resources may either be internal departments of a single organisation or independent organisations. Traditionally, project coordinating functions were integrated into the skill containing firms, but there has been a general trend in many industries to establish organisationally distinct project coordinating organisations.


Transaction Costs

It is this distinction between the internal and external provision of resources which is one of the main factors by which project organisations vary. Williamson (1975, 1985) has developed a comprehensive analysis of the factors which influence the choice of transactions. He defines a transaction as occurring when a good or service crosses a technologically separable interface (1980). In other words, if the efficient organisation of a production operation requires an integrated technology then transactions do not occur within it. For instance, if an assembly line is a technologically efficient choice of production technology, then transactions only occur at points where inputs of components arrive at that assembly line, and output of the product leaves that assembly line. Williamson argues that total costs of an economic activity are the sum of production costs and transaction costs, in distinction to the conventional approach which only focuses on production costs. While developed in order to understand the development of vertical integration, with particular reference to attempts to regulate the formation of monopolies, the framework has a more general relevance, and is particularly appropriate, I would contend, to the analysis of project organisation.

The basic question posed is that, given that production is efficiently organised, how can transaction costs be kept to a minimum as well? Williamson argues that there are three main environmental contingencies upon which the answer to this question rests. The first is uncertainty, which is a function of the difference between the amount of information required for a decision, and the amount of information available (Galbraith 1977). Uncertainty is generated for two reasons - through either complexity or dynamism. Complexity is the condition where the information is in principle available, but its collection or analysis is either technically impossible within the time available, or would cost more than the returns from complete information. Dynamism is the condition where the situation is changing so that present data are poor guides to future states. The future is inherently unknowable, but some futures are more unknowable than others due to differing levels of dynamism in the environment. The second is asset specificity - the extent to which the resources required are available from a large number of sources and hence can be bought in a competitive market, or only a few sources and the market is oligopolistic or even monopolistic. The third is transaction frequency - whether the input is required on a regular or occasional basis.

These three environmental contingencies encourage particular behavioural characteristics. Uncertainty generates bounded rationality where intendedly rational managers take decisions based on incomplete information and tend towards satisficing rather than optimisation in decision-making (March and Simon 1993 chap 6). Asset specificity generates opportunism where holders of scarce assets take advantage of their situation by overcharging, or by exerting their power to distort the behaviour of their customer. Transaction frequency influences the level of management attention given to the transaction - infrequent transactions are likely to be less closely managed than frequent ones. Williamson also emphasises the importance of atmosphere in transaction governance. This is the commitment of the parties to non-economic considerations, such as family commitments, preference for high trust relationships and long term relationships, cultural affinities and the like. Where atmosphere factors are strong, opportunism is likely to be suppressed and information to flow more freely between the parties, reducing bounded rationality and what Williamson calls "information impactedness".

Where uncertainty and asset specificity are low, transaction costs are likely to be minimised by the market governance of transactions. In other words, firms will obtain their supplies of inputs externally by competitive tender in the marketplace in what is known as market transaction governance. Low uncertainty means that buyers can clearly state their requirements in a specification, and low asset specificity means that prices will be competitive. At the other end of the spectrum, where uncertainty and asset specificity are high, firms will prefer to obtain their inputs internally because they are incapable of clearly specifying their requirements, or they face opportunistic behaviour by suppliers. This is known as hierarchical transaction governance. This is usually achieved by vertical integration, or by establishing internal production facilities.

Many have criticised Williamson's framework for its specification of mutually exclusive alternatives of market and hierarchy, when empirically, there are many different forms of relationship between firms. In particular, the concept of the network governance of transactions has been posed to describe the variety of collaborative relationships between firms. There is also some debate about whether the network is an intermediate form between market and hierarchy, or whether it can be considered to be an independent form of transaction governance (Powell 1990). Williamson addresses these issues by identifying the change that occurs after the "fundamental transformation" (1985 p 61) between pre-and post-contract relations. Where contracts are not discrete, and rely upon continuing relations between the parties during execution, then more elaborate forms of transaction governance tend to emerge. Which forms actually emerge is a function of transaction frequency and asset specificity. For a given level of uncertainty, if asset specificity is low, market governance suffices, but as it gets higher other forms merge. Where transactions are infrequent, it is not worth investing in transaction-specific governance structures, and trilateral governance emerges which relies upon third-party arbitration to resolve disputes. Where transaction frequency is high, bilateral governance structures emerge, and as it gets higher hierarchical governance tends to be more favoured.

Williamson sees these relations very much as a continuum between the poles of market and hierarchy (1985 p 83). One problem with holding Powell's position of a non-polar account is the sheer vagueness in what network governance actually looks like. Market and hierarchy are clearly defined states; networks are not. One contribution of this paper will be an attempt to clarify what is meant by such network forms of transaction governance - which may be more generally defined as collaborative transaction governance types. It may be suggested that where asset specificity is low but uncertainty is high, then collaborative forms of governance may prevail. Similarly, where uncertainty is low but asset specificity high, collaborative forms may also prevail. Where atmosphere considerations are strong, this will reduce the tendency towards vertical integration in conditions of high uncertainty and asset specificity, and favour other forms of collaboration between firms. These relationships are illustrated in figure 3.



Transaction frequency also has a profound impact upon the choice of governance mode. In considering its effects, asset specificity and uncertainty can be held constant, as they both have similar implications for the choice of governance mode. Where uncertainty and/or asset specificity are high, and transaction frequency is high, then hierarchy is again likely to be appropriate, and the inverse also holds. Where transaction frequency is high, but asset specificity and uncertainty low, what Williamson calls bilateral governance, or what Eccles (1981) has called the quasi-firm, is likely to be appropriate. This is where the firm buys inputs from a stable network of suppliers. This reduces transaction costs associated with market governance by reducing search costs and the need for complete specification writing and by facilitating information flows between the parties - they know each other already. Where transaction frequency is low, but asset specificity and/or uncertainty are high, then what Williamson call trilateral governance is likely to be selected. This is the situation where the contract between the parties provides for its continuing renegotiation in the light of circumstances, and provides for third party resolution of disputes which may arise during this renegotiation. Again, strong atmosphere considerations are likely to favour the more collaborative transaction modes. This analysis is summarised in figure 4.


Production Costs

The above analysis focuses upon transaction costs. In order to fully understand the nature of relations between firms, production costs need to be brought back into the equation. Williamson tends to assume that production efficiency is attainable within the single organisation, and that only transaction costs are relevant in considering relationships between organisations. However, it is clear that there are many cases where individual organisations cannot achieve economies of scale internally, and are obliged to collaborate externally in order to produce efficiently. This is particularly true where different parts of the value chain have different economies of scale. Under such conditions, firms also tend to form networks of relationships, in order to gain production economies for inputs that they do not wish to buy in the market place, but can only bring inside at the expense of production diseconomies.

A variant of this problem is the case where the firm can, in principle, achieve economies of scale but cannot raise enough capital to make the necessary investments. Such capital-sharing arrangements are common, for instance, in various areas of retailing where the parent company sells franchises which mean that the expansion of the branch network is largely financed by the purchasers of the franchises. This facilitates rapid expansion and the early achievement of economies of scale in marketing. Similarly a firm may be reluctant to take the entire responsibility for a project. This could be either because the project is very large in relation to the size of the firm and its failure would bring down the whole firm, or because the activity, though attractive is peripheral to the firm's core business. In these cases, collaboration reduces risks, and allows the firm to be engaged in activities that its size would normally place beyond its reach.


Forms of Collaborative Transaction Governance

The literature on network forms of transaction governance encompasses a diverse set of organisational forms, with little attempt to systematically differentiate types. In order to help in the identification of some different types, the literature on strategic alliances provides some useful frameworks.

A spectrum of collaborative forms can be identified The first dimension by which such forms vary is degree of interdependence - collaborative arrangements can be either project-based and therefore temporary, with a clean separation of resources allocated to the project and the returns generated from them at the termination of the project, or indeterminate in duration with much greater difficulty in separating returns and the development of relationship-specific investments.

The second dimension is power balance - the relationship may be one between equals, or power within the network may clearly favour one member. From these two dimensions, four basic types emerge as illustrated in figure 5. The consortium is formed when firms collaborate on a equal basis to achieve a particular end, and then separate once it has been achieved. Such consortia may be integrated in that the parties are jointly and severally liable for contract execution, operate with a common budget, and divide profits and losses at contract completion according to their original investment, or limited where one or more of these conditions are not met. The joint venture is formed between parties who intend a continuing relationship, which is usually symbolised by the investment of equity in the joint venture and the right of the joint venture itself to keep at least some of the returns from that investment.

The coalition is formed when firms come together on a project basis, but in a clear principal contractor and junior contractor relationship between the parties. Quasi-firms are formed where a powerful lead firm with a nodal position in the value chain - often a final assembler - mobilises a network of suppliers and distributors. There is again a clear hierarchical relationship between principal and junior contractor but the relationship is continuous. This may be because the relationship continues from project to project, or because production is on a continuous basis. Apart from the human capital resources which are built up in such continuing relationships, both buyers and suppliers may make capital investments which are dedicated to the transaction series, and so the cessation of the relationship may be very traumatic, particularly for the junior member of the quasi-firm. Quasi-firms reach their strongest form in franchise networks. Atmosphere considerations are likely to favour equality of power and longer term relationships.

The relationships between firms also change through time, moving between the three basic types of hierarchy, market and collaboration in response to the changing market and institutional environment. This is illustrated in figure 6. The shift from market to hierarchy through merger and acquisition is well known, while the reverse process of demerger is increasingly common. It might also be suggested that consortia and coalitions are more market-like forms of collaborative governance tending to reinforce market transaction governance, while joint ventures and quasi-firms are closer to hierarchical governance, and may lead to the formation of fully hierarchical forms.


Uncertainty, Variability and Risk

Within the concept of uncertainty is the condition that, although the precise outcome may be unknown, the range of outcomes can be fully predicted in advance. This condition may called variability where, in the analogy of the restaurateur trying to predict diners' orders, a menu of options is offered. The precise option required at any point in time may not be known, but the range of options is. Applying this principle to the notion of the project as a flow of information, it can be argued that uncertainties become variabilities at the screens. The objective of decision-making at the screen points is to reduce uncertainties to a clear set of variables, and then to choose between them. Some choices may remain open for later decision, but they are then made within a predetermined set of options. It follows from this position that high variability is only possible in conditions of relatively high certainty - it must be possible to pre-specify the set of options. Of course, such transformation of uncertainty into variability can only take place with respect to internal aspects of the project, for it still remains vulnerable to uncertainties derived from external dynamism.

The distinction between variability and uncertainty is an important one. If the production process is merely variable, then rationality is not bounded, and comprehensive contracts can be written in advance of the contingent claims type (if X; then Y). Flexibility in response to customer demands can, in Volberda's terminology (1992) be operational rather than strategic. If the process is uncertain, rationality is bounded and forms of contracting are therefore required which contain means of mutual adaptation between the parties in the face of the revealed conditions. For instance, one way of handling variability is through contracts which provide for after-measurement of work completed against a schedule of rates. It is not possible to deal with uncertainty in this manner due to the impossibility of drawing up a comprehensive schedule of rates. Under uncertainty, the contract has to contain mechanisms for changing the agreement between the parties in an efficient and mutually agreeable way. Variability, then generates few contractual problems; uncertainty remains central to the contracting problem and hence to the organisation of projects.

The conventional distinction between uncertainty and risk is that the latter is quantifiable on the basis of data derived from previous experience and hence insurable, while the former remains inherently unmeasurable. Thus probabilities can be assigned to the risk of a future event occurring. Much of the work in an area such as risk management is aimed at turning uncertainty into risk on the basis of the intensive analysis of previous performance. This may be termed actuarial risk. There is, however, another use of the term risk which is the acceptance of the rewards or liabilities from uncertain outcomes. This is the classical entrepreneurial risk, but also risk in the legal sense of liability for negative outcomes. Actuarial risk is not conceptually different from uncertainty as defined above; it is a state of relatively low uncertainty, where, due to low dynamism, previous experience is a good predictor of future outcomes. It is the second definition of risk which is the more interesting, and within the framework developed above, may be defined as the acceptance of the consequences of uncertainty by an actor. Thus an actor takes a risk when uncertain outcome X produces a reward, while uncertain outcome Y produces a liability, where X and Y are part of a single distribution of indeterminate (i.e. uncertain) shape. Where the shape of the distribution is determinate, then dynamism has been reduced to actuarial risk. There remain, outside any distribution, an additional set of uncertainties which, by definition, remain unknown and unknowable.